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catasp2005 catasp2005 is offline
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Probability question - 02-12-2004, 11:11 PM

Hi,
Can anyone please solve ths question for me?
In an examination, there are 20 questions with 4 alternatives. There is only 1 correct
alternative. One gets 4 marks for every correct answer & 1 negative mark for every wrong answer.50% are the passing marks. If a student attempts the questions on guesswork, find the probability of his passing.
Avi.
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TheAkshaT TheAkshaT is offline
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Re: Probability question - 02-12-2004, 11:37 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by catasp2005 @ Thu Dec 02, 2004 11:11 pm
Hi,
Can anyone please solve ths question for me?
In an examination, there are 20 questions with 4 alternatives. There is only 1 correct
alternative. One gets 4 marks for every correct answer & 1 negative mark for every wrong answer.50% are the passing marks. If a student attempts the questions on guesswork, find the probability of his passing.
Avi.
To pass he should have a total of 40 marks, that means anything less than 40 is fail :P

to get more than 40 he has to get atleast 12 correct....and at max 8 wrong
if 8 are wrong then 20C8 ways...
if 7 are wrong 20C7 ways...
if 6 are wrong 20C6....
and so on...

sum them up and get the ans



-Akshat
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Re: Probability question - 02-12-2004, 11:48 PM

u should specify pass marks
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Re: Probability question - 03-12-2004, 09:27 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheAkshaT @ Thu Dec 02, 2004 11:37 pm
Quote:
Originally Posted by catasp2005 @ Thu Dec 02, 2004 11:11 pm
Hi,
Can anyone please solve ths question for me?
In an examination, there are 20 questions with 4 alternatives. There is only 1 correct
alternative. One gets 4 marks for every correct answer & 1 negative mark for every wrong answer.50% are the passing marks. If a student attempts the questions on guesswork, find the probability of his passing.
Avi.
To pass he should have a total of 40 marks, that means anything less than 40 is fail :P

to get more than 40 he has to get atleast 12 correct....and at max 8 wrong
if 8 are wrong then 20C8 ways...
if 7 are wrong 20C7 ways...
if 6 are wrong 20C6....
and so on...

sum them up and get the ans



-Akshat
Hey Akshat,

I guess u missed out to consider that there are 4 alternatives to each Q...

So now P(Pass) = P(1w) + P(2w) + .... + P(8w)

Where
P(1w) = (20C1) * [(1/4)^19] * [(3/4)^1]
till
P(8w) = (20C * [(1/4)^12] * [(3/4)^8]

I feel there wud be a shorter method.....

Gaurav.

PG Rocks -->


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TheAkshaT TheAkshaT is offline
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Re: Probability question - 03-12-2004, 10:55 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by GauravShah @ Fri Dec 03, 2004 9:27 am
Hey Akshat,

I guess u missed out to consider that there are 4 alternatives to each Q...

So now P(Pass) = P(1w) + P(2w) + .... + P(8w)

Where
P(1w) = (20C1) * [(1/4)^19] * [(3/4)^1]
till
P(8w) = (20C * [(1/4)^12] * [(3/4)^8]

I feel there wud be a shorter method.....
Ooops!...

Thanks for correcting

-Akshat
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Re: Probability question - 04-12-2004, 05:07 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by GauravShah
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheAkshaT @ Thu Dec 02, 2004 11:37 pm
Quote:
Originally Posted by catasp2005 @ Thu Dec 02, 2004 11:11 pm
Hi,
Can anyone please solve ths question for me?
In an examination, there are 20 questions with 4 alternatives. There is only 1 correct
alternative. One gets 4 marks for every correct answer & 1 negative mark for every wrong answer.50% are the passing marks. If a student attempts the questions on guesswork, find the probability of his passing.
Avi.
To pass he should have a total of 40 marks, that means anything less than 40 is fail :P

to get more than 40 he has to get atleast 12 correct....and at max 8 wrong
if 8 are wrong then 20C8 ways...
if 7 are wrong 20C7 ways...
if 6 are wrong 20C6....
and so on...

sum them up and get the ans



-Akshat
Hey Akshat,

I guess u missed out to consider that there are 4 alternatives to each Q...

So now P(Pass) = P(1w) + P(2w) + .... + P(8w)

Where
P(1w) = (20C1) * [(1/4)^19] * [(3/4)^1]
till
P(8w) = (20C * [(1/4)^12] * [(3/4)^8]

I feel there wud be a shorter method.....

Gaurav.

PG Rocks --> *
Hey Gaurav,
i got this answer, bt its quite a long method........
Do u knw of any short-cut???????
avi.
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Re: Probability question - 04-12-2004, 05:37 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by catasp2005
Hi,
Can anyone please solve ths question for me?
In an examination, there are 20 questions with 4 alternatives. There is only 1 correct
alternative. One gets 4 marks for every correct answer & 1 negative mark for every wrong answer.50% are the passing marks. If a student attempts the questions on guesswork, find the probability of his passing.
Avi.
The way I look at it, if the student is plain guessing, we can assume, he's attempting all the 20 questions.

Let C be the number of correct answers. He needs to score more than 50% ( of maximum marks I assume ).

so, score >= 40

4C - 1*(20-C) >=40

4C - 20 + C >= 40

5C >= 60

C >= 12

Which can happen in 9 ways ( 12 correct, 13 correct , ..... all 20 correct )

So probablity of passing = 9 / 21



21 because, we have to take the zero correct eventuality.

Vish

Disclaimer :I came up with this "logic" on the spur of the moment. It doesnt seem right to me as I've ignored the 4 correct alternatives condition. I'm leaving it here just for ppl to munch some brains over it. Or dissect it.

Shortcuts may arise if you can provide the answer options. I cant think of any shortcut to the solution. Might think about it if I have nothing ele to do.

Vish


Veni Wimwi Vishy ~ Thus blogeth I
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08-12-2004, 12:40 PM

In how many ways can the letter of the word "daughter" be arranged such that no vowels are together?

answer this question with explanation
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08-12-2004, 01:28 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by ritika_j
In how many ways can the letter of the word "daughter" be arranged such that no vowels are together?

answer this question with explanation
Edit : Please ignore.... solution incorrect

Not sure if my approach is correct still here is my solution.....

Lets place this first V-C-V-C-V...here three vowels can be arrange in 3! = 6 ways and consonants in 5P2 = 5.4 = 20 ways...

hence total = 6*20 = 120 ways...

Now consider the spaces between these that is...

_ - V - _ - C - _ - V - _ - C - _ - V - _

In this stepp we fill these spces will the remaining consonants i.e. 3

This can be done in 6C3 * 3! ways = 20*6 = 120 ways

Hence total no. of ways = 120*120 = 14400 ways

If I missed something please reply...

Also i don't think i was able to convey the solution properly so if anyone understood this and can simplify please do

Cheers

Gaurav.


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08-12-2004, 02:20 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by GauravShah
Quote:
Originally Posted by ritika_j
In how many ways can the letter of the word "daughter" be arranged such that no vowels are together?

answer this question with explanation
Not sure if my approach is correct still here is my solution.....

Lets place this first V-C-V-C-V...here three vowels can be arrange in 3! = 6 ways and consonants in 5P2 = 5.4 = 20 ways...

hence total = 6*20 = 120 ways...

Now consider the spaces between these that is...

_ - V - _ - C - _ - V - _ - C - _ - V - _

In this stepp we fill these spces will the remaining consonants i.e. 3

This can be done in 6C3 * 3! ways = 20*6 = 120 ways

Hence total no. of ways = 120*120 = 14400 ways

If I missed something please reply...

Gaurav.
well champ, u did miss something..u see "daughter" has 3 vowels nd 5 consonants..so its not necessary to have a vc-vc or -v-c sort of repetitive relatonship..actually the solution is much simpler

step1: calculate all possible permutations of "daughter"= 8!

step2: calculate all cases in which three vowels are always together=3!x6!

step3: calculate cases of two vowels being together..this is slightly tricky, so a diagram follows

_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 lets consider two vowels at 1-2 position..3C2=3 arrangements
=> rest arrangements can be made in 6! ways

out of these 6! arrangements 5! arrangements will have a vowel at place 3

so we have 3x(6!-5!) ways

now this 1-2 group can be taken in 7 ways

so arrangements for two vowels together are= 7x3x(6!-5!)

hence, we have total arrangements= 8!- [3!x6! + 7x3x(6!-5!)]

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